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Friday, January 31, 2025

Musk waffles about Tesla Roadster 2025 manufacturing – ‘near’ finalizing design


Tesla CEO Elon Musk was requested about when the next-gen Roadster could be obtainable throughout at the moment’s earnings name, and his reply left a lot to be desired.

On Tesla’s Q2 earnings name in July, Musk was requested when the Tesla Roadster is coming. He responded that the car would go into manufacturing in 2025, the most recent in a number of delays for the car which was initially introduced in 2017 for a deliberate 2020 launch.

However at the moment, he was requested once more, merely, “what’s occurring with the Tesla Roadster?” And as an alternative of giving the identical reply, he gave a softer one, suggesting that the car could be delayed once more. Right here it’s in full:

Effectively I’d definitely prefer to thank our lengthy struggling deposit holders of the Tesla Roadster. The explanation it hasn’t come out but is as a result of the Roadster is not only the icing on the cake, its the cherry on the icing on the cake. Our bigger mission is to speed up the progress in direction of the sustainable vitality future, to attempt to do issues that maximize the likelihood that the long run is nice for humanity and for Earth. And in order that essentially signifies that the issues which can be kinda like dessert – we’d all like to work on the next-gen Tesla Roadster, it’s tremendous enjoyable, and we’re engaged on it – but it surely has to come back behind the issues which have a extra severe affect on the nice of the world. So simply thanks to all our lengthy struggling Tesla Roadster deposit holders, and we’re lastly making progress on that. We’re near finalizing the design on that, it’s really gonna be one thing spectacular. Y’know, a good friend of mine, Peter Thiel – y’know and generally individuals suppose that Peter Thiel and I are rivals, we’re actually good mates – however you already know Peter was lamenting on how the long run doesn’t have flying vehicles. Effectively, we’ll see.

So, to interrupt this down: final time, Musk mentioned the Roadster is popping out in 2025. This time, he did not say that, regardless of that it will have been a straightforward sufficient reiteration to make on condition that he mentioned it three months in the past.

Final time, Musk acknowledged that “we’ve accomplished many of the engineering,” and that Tesla was nonetheless planning some upgrades, however would go into manufacturing “subsequent yr,” that’s, in 2025 (as one of many 6 large merchandise Tesla says are coming “subsequent yr”).

However right here, three months later – and getting near the purpose the place “subsequent yr” turns into “this yr” – Musk may solely say that Tesla is “near finalizing the design.”

However then, we’ve heard virtually precisely this language earlier than, a few years in the past. Right here’s an instance from 2021:

Along with this language we’ve heard earlier than, Musk included plenty of hemming and hawing concerning the causes behind the dearth of progress on this Roadster, which some reservation holders deposited $50,000 and even $250,000 for, seven years in the past now. That’s fairly a protracted zero-interest mortgage they’ve given the corporate.

Whereas it is sensible that the corporate would produce other priorities than to launch a supercar, the corporate definitely has loads of assets obtainable in comparison with the 5 automobiles it at present sells – and, maybe, if it thought there have been different priorities, it shouldn’t have taken $250,000 deposits 8(+?) years earlier than launch.

Elsewhere in Tesla’s earnings letter, the Roadster was listed as “TBD” and “In growth” on a chart of Tesla’s present and upcoming fashions, a lot because it has been prior to now.

So, no change right here, regardless of the earlier announcement of 2025 manufacturing.

Lastly, Musk prompt once more at the moment that the upcoming next-gen Roadster would be capable to fly, one thing he’s talked about a number of instances earlier than. This may presumably make the most of the teased “SpaceX package deal” with rocket thrusters that are supposed to enhance the automobile’s efficiency.

On condition that a lot of at the moment’s EVs are tire-limited by way of acceleration (and principally all automobiles are tire-limited for dealing with), thrusters may theoretically be organized round a automobile so as to add drive in no matter path is most advantageous to efficiency – both laterally for cornering or dealing with upwards to offer downforce and enhance grip (which then helps cornering).

Nevertheless, it ought to be famous that one of many major methods to enhance car efficiency is downforce, not upforce (the latter will not be even a time period anybody has ever used, as a result of it’s so dangerous in direction of efficiency).

Downforce will increase the obvious weight of a automobile with out growing its mass, which signifies that you acquire the advantages of elevated tire grip with out additionally gaining extra inertia which makes it tougher for vehicles to speed up, decelerate and switch. This was used to nice impact within the record-breaking McMurtry Spierling “fan automobile” (watch the video in that hyperlink – it seems like taking part in a videogame with cheat codes on).

Placing thrusters on a automobile which allow to go upwards is at greatest a celebration trick, and at worst a waste of extra mass which could possibly be eliminated to enhance car efficiency or consolation as an alternative.

So maybe I can clear up a few of these engineering delays for Mr. Musk: cease making an attempt to make the automobile fly. It’s dumb. This isn’t how fundamental, high-school degree physics works.


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